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  • Apr 14, 2025

Factbox-HSBC trims Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026

HSBC revised down its Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026, following the announcement of tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump and the decision by OPEC+ to increase production, the bank said in a note on Tuesday. The bank's forecast for 2025 has been reduced to $68.5 per barrel, down from the previous estimate of $73/bbl. Its 2026 prediction has also been lowered to $65/bbl, compared to the earlier estimate of $70/bbl.

  • Apr 14, 2025

JP Morgan cuts oil price forecasts on weak demand, higher output

The bank cut its 2025 Brent price forecast to $66 per barrel from $73 and its 2026 target to $58 from $61. It lowered the 2025 WTI price outlook to $62 per barrel from $69 and the 2026 view to $53 from $57. Brent crude futures were trading around $65 on Monday, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were around $61.

  • Apr 14, 2025

S&P 500's 'death cross' may not be as ominous as it sounds, analysts say

NEW YORK (Reuters) -A tariff-induced selloff in the U.S. stock market faces another worry, the "death cross" pattern, but history shows the ominous sounding technical signal may not necessarily mean equities face more significant downside. A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (DMA), seen by technicians as a proxy for the intermediate-term trend, slips below the 200-DMA, a proxy for the long-term trend. Technical analysts view the occurrence as marking a spot where a shorter-term correction could turn into a longer-term downtrend.

  • Apr 14, 2025

Drop in job-finding rate, rise in time out of work could signal recession ahead, SF Fed paper says

The analysis suggests a measure of hidden weakness in what has widely been seen as a solid labor market that is now coming under pressure from the Trump administration's massive tariffs, which have raised the twin risks of higher inflation and higher unemployment. In the lead-up to many past recessions, it has been typical for people who are out of work to take longer and longer to find a job, and to spend an increasing amount of time among the ranks of the unemployed, the authors of the regional Fed bank's latest Economic Letter found. "In the past, such patterns frequently occurred during the onset of recessions, suggesting that these developments could be signs of rising recession risk," the Letter's four co-authors wrote.

  • Apr 14, 2025

Trump considers pausing his auto tariffs as the world economy endures whiplash

President Donald Trump on Monday suggested that he might temporarily exempt the auto industry from tariffs he previously imposed on the sector, to give carmakers time to adjust their supply chains. “I’m looking at something to help some of the car companies with it,” Trump told reporters gathered in the Oval Office. Matt Blunt, president of American Automotive Policy Council, an association representing Ford, General Motors and Stellantis, said the group shared Trump's goals of increased domestic production.

  • Apr 14, 2025

M&T predicts economy 'slowdown,' not recession

The Buffalo, New York-based bank also said Monday that the commercial real estate lending market has started showing signs of life, but that the renewed competition is crimping its loan growth.

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